Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.239431 0.271710 0.306228 0.345830 0.389948 0.437529 0.492666
2025-10-12 0.200207 0.244241 0.294351 0.355385 0.427493 0.509740 0.610411
2025-10-19 0.169210 0.219853 0.280663 0.358610 0.455368 0.570993 0.719030
2025-10-26 0.147910 0.203264 0.272965 0.366385 0.487417 0.637923 0.838102
2025-11-02 0.132335 0.191311 0.268807 0.376878 0.522256 0.709425 0.966706
2025-11-09 0.115535 0.175253 0.256943 0.375167 0.539845 0.758735 1.068801
2025-11-16 0.102014 0.161861 0.246848 0.374121 0.557146 0.807572 1.172051
2025-11-23 0.090571 0.149960 0.237321 0.372402 0.572486 0.853656 1.273163
2025-11-30 0.083407 0.143575 0.234960 0.380394 0.601593 0.919901 1.405357
2025-12-07 0.075360 0.134806 0.227981 0.380500 0.618514 0.968952 1.514796
2025-12-14 0.068358 0.126892 0.221449 0.380439 0.634660 1.017115 1.624704
2025-12-21 0.062391 0.120018 0.215841 0.381125 0.651566 1.066764 1.738687
2025-12-28 0.057837 0.115287 0.213599 0.387509 0.678571 1.134374 1.885408
2026-01-04 0.054446 0.112263 0.213930 0.398097 0.712919 1.215119 2.056536
2026-01-11 0.050265 0.107291 0.210382 0.401672 0.735711 1.278518 2.203253
2026-01-18 0.047246 0.104184 0.209823 0.410280 0.767311 1.357473 2.378408
2026-01-25 0.044905 0.102139 0.210970 0.421890 0.804582 1.447333 2.575216
2026-02-01 0.041055 0.096582 0.205015 0.419998 0.817885 1.497631 2.708664
2026-02-08 0.037685 0.091627 0.199732 0.418842 0.832209 1.550042 2.847629
2026-02-15 0.034567 0.086842 0.194325 0.416941 0.844861 1.599893 2.984084
2026-02-22 0.032837 0.084930 0.194491 0.425781 0.877729 1.686315 3.186971
2026-03-01 0.030408 0.081135 0.190437 0.425898 0.894054 1.743997 3.341857
2026-03-08 0.028179 0.077541 0.186469 0.425831 0.909878 1.801282 3.498157